Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.363312 2.860378 3.420043 4.094412 4.882345 5.771145 6.846783
2025-04-27 1.716100 2.359534 3.164680 4.235766 5.611436 7.306020 9.536678
2025-05-04 1.344129 2.059738 3.037880 4.448439 6.401648 8.977847 12.592813
2025-05-11 1.029029 1.741060 2.794838 4.426376 6.836963 10.205656 15.190763
2025-05-18 0.774633 1.439873 2.500471 4.253238 6.998767 11.037164 17.297351
2025-05-25 0.583803 1.188056 2.222018 4.037957 7.039014 11.662318 19.132270
2025-06-01 0.473503 1.045757 2.088697 4.020780 7.364980 12.724103 21.690494
2025-06-08 0.393907 0.939793 1.994903 4.047656 7.752780 13.903618 24.518134
2025-06-15 0.325825 0.838915 1.889152 4.030972 8.053789 14.957203 27.218840
2025-06-22 0.253486 0.708884 1.700052 3.824463 7.983557 15.369186 28.879793
2025-06-29 0.211252 0.636315 1.613269 3.800368 8.238569 16.354075 31.576307
2025-07-06 0.176353 0.571821 1.530653 3.769585 8.471764 17.312350 34.290602
2025-07-13 0.161375 0.557151 1.560907 3.988453 9.233221 19.320717 39.068843
2025-07-20 0.143502 0.529427 1.555381 4.128370 9.851200 21.115955 43.601196
2025-07-27 0.131166 0.514573 1.578762 4.336989 10.634118 23.288155 48.985789
2025-08-03 0.110641 0.467253 1.509046 4.315644 10.920831 24.514622 52.673028
2025-08-10 0.088355 0.405623 1.387063 4.146391 10.859636 25.038323 55.042370
2025-08-17 0.069103 0.346622 1.258031 3.935891 10.675674 25.288711 56.883760
2025-08-24 0.058513 0.316368 1.206598 3.919104 10.937972 26.483371 60.682041
2025-08-31 0.050548 0.293581 1.173099 3.945388 11.305142 27.927197 65.078395
2025-09-07 0.042912 0.268764 1.127167 3.929075 11.564769 29.155601 69.106594
2025-09-14 0.033398 0.229943 1.023613 3.727154 11.331982 29.274525 70.811903
2025-09-21 0.028221 0.210153 0.982062 3.703597 11.555505 30.435227 74.808378